{"id":175,"date":"2026-05-29T21:53:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T21:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/commercialrelocationpros.com\/?p=175"},"modified":"2026-05-29T21:53:02","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T21:53:02","slug":"the-war-trump-cant-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/commercialrelocationpros.com\/?p=175","title":{"rendered":"The War Trump Can\u2019t End"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

For nearly five decades, the Islamic Republic of Iran has been preparing for a war that Donald Trump expected would take days.<\/p>\n

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As virtually every American president since World War II has learned, a monopoly on focus can outlast a monopoly on power. America under Trump is the attention-deficit superpower, pinballing from isolationism to interventionism in Venezuela, Iran, and Cuba, having hollowed out the State Department. The Islamic Republic is an obsessive-compulsive revolutionary state\u2014a regime with a half-century fixation on resisting America, rather than advancing the welfare of its own people. Fighting America is not the regime\u2019s policy; it\u2019s the regime\u2019s identity.<\/p>\n

The deadlock is both ideological and structural. To justify the immense costs of conflict to American taxpayers, Trump must demand far more from Tehran in any deal than he would have before the war began. Conversely, having lost hundreds of billions of dollars and its top leadership, Iran\u2019s theocracy must demand far more\u2014and concede far less\u2014than it ever would have previously. Neither side can afford a deal that the other might accept. And in a zero-sum negotiation, Iran\u2019s monomaniacal focus is a greater currency than American military power.<\/p>\n

Trump may pause his war against Iran. But the Islamic Republic\u2019s 47-year ideological war with \u201cthe Great Satan, America, and its trained beast, the Zionist regime\u201d\u2014in the recent words of Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran\u2019s supreme leader\u2014will continue in earnest. U.S.-Iran negotiations yield zero trust and zero closure. A win-win scenario does not exist. Tehran\u2019s nuclear ambitions, threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, regional proxies, and missile programs will menace the Middle East so long as the Islamic Republic is in power.<\/p>\n

Tehran is transparent about its negotiating tactics. \u201cThe Iranian negotiation style is generally known in the world as the \u2018bazaar style,\u2019 which means continuous and tireless bargaining,\u201d Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi wrote in his 2025 diplomatic memoir. \u201cThis method is a process of interaction that requires great patience and time,\u201d and thus, \u201che who gets tired and bored quickly will lose.\u201d Trump has twice grown bored with diplomacy and resorted to military action against Iran.<\/p>\n

The first phase of any deal would require Tehran to de-mine the Strait of Hormuz and cease harassing vessels traversing it, and the United States to lift its blockade proportionally\u2014restoring, in theory, the prewar reality of an unfettered international waterway. For Tehran, the strait has become its greatest source of leverage. Iran\u2019s implicit control over it\u2014and the global economy\u2014is both a potential fixed-revenue stream and a deterrent against future attacks. \u201cThis time, papers and signatures are not guarantees,\u201d Ali Akbar Velayati, an adviser to Iran\u2019s supreme leader, said. \u201cThe objective guarantee for preserving any agreement is the Strait of Hormuz.\u201d<\/p>\n

A coordinated reopening of the strait could be a prelude to successful nuclear negotiations, but it could also prove merely an intermission in fighting. The resumption of traffic through the strait would bring down oil prices\u2014a crucial strategic objective in itself for the U.S., because it would make a return to war, if necessary, more sustainable, one senior official told me, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomatic matters. Similarly for Tehran, the pause would provide much-needed cash and an opportunity to refortify its military.<\/p>\n

Trump-administration officials believe that once the strait is reopened, Tehran will have a hard time closing it again: \u201cIt\u2019s a card they can only play once,\u201d the senior official said. Tehran appears confident taking opposite bets: that it has established a de facto Strait of Hormuz protection racket, and that the closer Trump gets to the U.S. midterms, the less appetite he will have to restart the war. For both sides, a tactical pause may relieve economic pressure and make reaching a broader diplomatic compromise feel less urgent, rather than more so.<\/p>\n

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The most difficult negotiation is the nuclear one. Trump will seek a commitment from Tehran to never pursue nuclear weapons, including a freeze on long-term enrichment, removal of its 400-kilogram stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and the establishment of an invasive inspections regime. But Tehran has drawn an obvious lesson from modern history: The regimes that gave up their weapons programs\u2014in Iraq, Libya, and Ukraine\u2014made themselves vulnerable to foreign intervention. North Korea, meanwhile, has survived behind a nuclear shield.<\/p>\n

A former Iranian official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to avoid government scrutiny, told me that Tehran retains the knowledge and now has the will to build nuclear weapons in short order. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claims to have as many as 30 underground \u201cmissile cities,\u201d likely built with North Korean assistance, some reportedly buried deeper than the nuclear facilities already destroyed. Like Gaza, Iran is becoming a place where the authorities and their weaponry thrive underground while citizens languish aboveground.<\/p>\n

The U.S. official told me that Washington expects to know \u201cwithin a few weeks\u201d whether this peace process has legs. The Trump administration plans to present Tehran with two possible paths. The first would require Iran to abandon its nuclear-weapons program, its regional proxies, and its foundational hostility toward America and Israel in exchange for hundreds of billions of dollars in Persian Gulf investment that could make Iran \u201cone of the richest countries in the world.\u201d The second path would be to preserve the status quo: Iran\u2019s revolutionary ideology would remain intact, but at the cost of a continued naval blockade, crushing sanctions, and the potential renewal of war.<\/p>\n

The Islamic Republic has never been willing to trade its revolutionary principles for prosperity. As recently as May 26, Mojtaba Khamenei used the hajj\u2014Islam\u2019s most universal gathering\u2014as an occasion to warn that the \u201cterrorist\u201d U.S. military was no longer safe in the Middle East, and that the \u201ccancerous tumor of Israel\u201d would soon experience the \u201cfinal days of their wretched existence.\u201d And the Trump administration appears to have little illusion about Iran\u2019s priorities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said during a recent state visit in India that \u201cIran would rather invest in the rapists and murderers of Hamas\u201d than in its own people.<\/p>\n

Over the past 47 years, Tehran has made major compromises only twice. The first was its 1988 decision to end the Iran-Iraq War\u2014after eight years and an estimated 200,000 Iranian deaths\u2014a concession that Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini likened to drinking poison. The second was the 2015 nuclear deal with the Obama administration. In both cases, when faced with overwhelming economic and diplomatic pressure, a viable diplomatic exit, and no demands to change its revolutionary identity, Tehran showed itself capable of tactical compromise.<\/p>\n

\u201cIran never won a war,\u201d Trump tweeted in January of 2020, \u201cbut never lost a negotiation!\u201d This aphorism has become received wisdom, yet it misses a central fact: Any government willing to immiserate its own population rather than compromise can look like a tough negotiator. Today, the U.S. naval blockade is costing Iran an estimated $450 million a day. With Iran\u2019s inflation nearing 70 percent, its currency collapsing, and its dire shortages of feedstock and medicine, the regime\u2019s defiance resembles the strategic victory of Monty Python\u2019s Black Knight.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe main principle of bargaining is practice: repetition, repetition, and repetition,\u201d Araghchi wrote, \u201cso much that the other side of the deal, as they say, \u201cgets numb\u201d and gives its consent.\u201d Up until now, Tehran\u2019s negotiating style has not numbed Trump into consent but agitated him into conflict. Yet conflict, like negotiation, has not resolved the fundamental problem that has confounded every American president since 1979: The United States needs a deal, but the Islamic Republic needs the United States as an adversary. America seeks resolution. Iran is committed to revolution.<\/p>\n

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Washington needs a deal, but Tehran needs an enemy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global"],"yoast_head":"\nThe War Trump Can\u2019t End - Commercial Relocation Pros<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/commercialrelocationpros.com\/?p=175\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The War Trump Can\u2019t End - Commercial Relocation Pros\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Washington needs a deal, but Tehran needs an enemy.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/commercialrelocationpros.com\/?p=175\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Relocation Pros\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-29T21:53:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3a3374a445f1b5d4852b1d7c15b9fe3a\"},\"headline\":\"The War Trump Can\u2019t End\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-29T21:53:02+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175\"},\"wordCount\":1325,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/088ca6faafa05e9b7eb718597d71e4c3.avif\",\"articleSection\":[\"Global\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/commercialrelocationpros.com\\\/?p=175\",\"name\":\"The War Trump Can\u2019t End - 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